Present activity of DOW resembles a market top, with uncertain investors dashing back and forth — and large volumes changing hands, but no real direction. The financial sector faces a searching examination in the months ahead and I would estimate that the odds remain 3 to 1 in favor of a bear market. The probability of a further primary advance, signaled by a rise above 14000, would by contrast, be 1 in 4. type="text/javascript">  
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